La BAD et BIDV saluent le rebond mais avertissent des risques de marché financier

>>Le Vietnam vise une croissance de 6% à 6.5% en 2022
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The market capitalization of Vietnam saw a 48.4% increase in capitalization.

Photo: VNA/CVN

The executive vice-president of BIDV, Trân Phuong, declared that this was the result of a research conducted by a team of experts from BAD and BIDV.

This is the first time that a Vietnamese financial institution collaborates with the BAD to realize a complete evaluation report on the Vietnamese financial market, covering the domains of banking, securities and insurance, at il noted .

En ce qui concerne 2021, le rapport indique que l’économie mondiale s’est redressée assez rapidement avec une augmentation rapide de l’inflation en raison de la réouverture des activités socio-économiques dans la majority des countries. The global financial market has pursued a rapid recovery considering the new normality and the reinforcement of confidence.

Dans ce context, l’économie vietnamienne sest redressée assez rapidement thanks to an appropriate change in the strategy of prevention of the epidemic, which allowed the reopening at the beginning of the fourth quarter of 2021.

As a result, growth reached 5.22% in the third quarter, and 6.02% in the third quarter, helping the economy to grow by 2.58% over the year. L’inflation a été maintenue à un niveau bas de 1.84% l’année dernière.

The Vietnamese financial market has maintained a positive growth dynamic thanks to a stable macroeconomy and the implementation of fiscal and monetary policies in favor of people and businesses.

In the banking sector, the combined profit before tax of 29 commercial banks that represent 80% of the bond market decreased by 32%, while their operating costs decreased by 15%.

At the same time, the banking sector continued its debt restructuring and support programs for clients affected by the epidemic for a total value of 52,000 billion dongs in 2021 and 20,000 to 25,000 billion dongs in 2022.

Le marché boursier saw l’indice de référence VNIndex bondir de 35.7% et la capitalization augmenter de 48.4%. The number of trading accounts has reached a record of 1.5 million.

The insurance market has maintained a growth trend, with revenues reaching 217,000 billion dongs in 2021, an increase of nearly 19% compared to the previous year.

Cependant, le rapport pointe des risques émergents sur le marché bancaire tels que la hausse des créances douteuses potentieles, une augmentation des crimes financiers, les ajustements à la baisse sur le marché boursier ou la manipulation du marché.

Le Dr Cân Van Luc, économiste en chef de BIDV, a declarée que l’économie vietnamienne devrait mieux se redresser this year pour croître de 5.5 à 6%. Une telle croissance devrait également s’accompanier d’un taux d’inflation élevé d’environ 3.8 à 4.2%, at-il ajouté.

Il indicated that the financial market will benefit from the recovery, the profits of the banking sector must progress by 20 to 25% annually and the insurance market will continue to grow. Le marché boursier, quant à lui, should make necessary adjustments to become more stable and more healthy.

The recommendations formulated in the report portent sur l’achèvement d’un juridique et de politiques sur le treatment des créances douteuses et l’sainissement des markets des valeurs mobilières et des bonds, l’amelioration du control des risques dans le système financier et l’accelération de la mise en place d’institutions et d’un couloir juridique pour la management et le développement de l’economy numérique, de la finance numérique et de la banque numérique.

VNA/CVN

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